The following images clearly show the problems that are developing with the ever increasing cost of energy discovery and production. Most commentators agree that an overall EROEI (Energy Return on Energy Invested) of 10 to 12 is required to support modern economies. That is about where we are now.

EROEI_mobbs

Source: Mobbs’ Environmental Investigations, 4th December 2013, University of London

World energy consumption has been increasing exponentially since the middle of the last century. It will not continue to rise, but prices will.

world_energy_consumption_finiteworld

Source: Gail Tverberg of Our Finite World blog

There is a strong correlation between energy consumption and population. This is a considerable concern. In particular, food production today requires vast amounts of energy, and thus ever increasing food prices. It takes around 20 calories of energy to produce 1 calorie of food. That is about the same annual energy consumption for a person as for a typical American car.

world_pop_finiteworld

Source: Gail Tverberg of Our Finite World blog

There is little hope that we will be saved by bureaucrats.

EROEI_CARTOON

Source University of Dayton, Ohio, US

Last Word

Modern society requires vast quantities of cheap energy. Unfortunately energy is getting ever more expensive to produce. We will not be saved by “renewables” or by nuclear fission.

There is a strong correlation between energy/oil prices and global GDP. This is particularly relevant today, given that most economies are struggling for growth. It seems that we have imposed  a linear economic model upon nature, which is, of course, cyclical.